Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 4.755456 5.163105 5.604665 6.121159 6.712153 7.371421 8.168317
2025-03-09 4.033463 4.578837 5.211605 6.010320 7.006820 8.230545 9.882397
2025-03-16 3.629857 4.244445 4.991511 5.986628 7.310257 9.062297 11.654894
2025-03-23 3.400689 4.072592 4.921094 6.103938 7.768152 10.127754 13.944742
2025-03-30 3.114094 3.790472 4.667358 5.929646 7.779587 10.541946 15.336880
2025-04-06 2.884246 3.557952 4.450630 5.771004 7.775596 10.910239 16.719599
2025-04-13 2.697338 3.365735 4.268212 5.635256 7.777325 11.272072 18.167004
2025-04-20 2.558557 3.227546 4.147261 5.573031 7.878116 11.804345 20.079540
2025-04-27 2.494765 3.187230 4.159558 5.709003 8.311116 12.988612 23.737909
2025-05-04 2.435493 3.148023 4.168333 5.837035 8.744043 14.257381 28.131104
2025-05-11 2.343645 3.055592 4.090074 5.815513 8.907467 15.026130 31.632235
2025-05-18 2.252219 2.958272 3.997221 5.760094 8.999299 15.661713 35.089184
2025-05-25 2.135356 2.822193 3.843610 5.602072 8.903373 15.927135 37.794836
2025-06-01 2.042491 2.718271 3.735291 5.515326 8.940978 16.525633 42.121509
2025-06-08 1.972163 2.644380 3.669166 5.495471 9.108248 17.478545 48.594286
2025-06-15 1.933029 2.615544 3.672535 5.598729 9.543391 19.236756 60.452646
2025-06-22 1.846342 2.508786 3.542242 5.445416 9.407935 19.430086 65.131572
2025-06-29 1.768497 2.412495 3.424111 5.305622 9.285295 19.636172 70.293950
2025-07-06 1.699839 2.327762 3.320786 5.185814 9.192877 19.913244 76.436551
2025-07-13 1.647513 2.266717 3.254057 5.130839 9.242572 20.644021 87.049242
2025-07-20 1.629302 2.259026 3.276902 5.250922 9.720939 22.914070 115.725709
2025-07-27 1.610524 2.249372 3.295477 5.363836 10.201983 25.419471 158.409044
2025-08-03 1.571419 2.204942 3.250920 5.344866 10.347688 26.771388 195.773931